Connecting the dots across tech, philosophy, and everything between.https://www.pm-notebook.com/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/the-loop-technology-civilization/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/the-loop-technology-civilization/ChatGPT reached 100M users in 2 months. Civilization takes 50 to 150 years to adapt. That gap has never been this wide. A 12,000-year history of what happens next.Tue, 12 May 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/everything-we-trade-is-an-argument-about-electrons/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/everything-we-trade-is-an-argument-about-electrons/For two hundred years, every abstraction stacked on top of the economy was a wrapper around the same scarcity. The wrapper is cracking.Sat, 07 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/how-alexandria-enables-cross-project-ai-agent-learning/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/how-alexandria-enables-cross-project-ai-agent-learning/I got tired of re-teaching the same patterns to every AI agent on every project, so I built Alexandria: a shared memory my agents learn from.Sat, 31 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/cycle-nexus-framework/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/cycle-nexus-framework/A framework for spotting market shifts before they're obvious. Combines cycle theory, systems thinking, and antifragility into a single diagnostic.Tue, 20 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/arc-raiders-game-theory-prisoners-dilemma/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/arc-raiders-game-theory-prisoners-dilemma/Embark Studios built the prisoner's dilemma into an extraction shooter. Every squad encounter is a live experiment in trust and betrayal.Sat, 10 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/2026-predictions-the-year-ai-goes-local-and-reality-catches-up/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/2026-predictions-the-year-ai-goes-local-and-reality-catches-up/Desktop agents, prediction markets in your news feed, and the AI stories that won't land. My 2026 calls, split into signal and noise.Fri, 02 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/what-is-the-human-context-window/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/what-is-the-human-context-window/Your brain processes 10 bits per second. AI handles millions of tokens. The human context window is the constraint nobody designs around.Mon, 22 Dec 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/foundations-of-agentic-ai-systems/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/foundations-of-agentic-ai-systems/A clean five-level framework for agentic AI maturity. Diagnose where your team actually is, find the failure mode, and get the next move.Sun, 12 Oct 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/agentic-ai-spectrum-from-basic-prompts-to-elite-teams/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/agentic-ai-spectrum-from-basic-prompts-to-elite-teams/I spent six months building AI agent teams and screwed up most of it. The five levels of agent maturity, and why skipping ahead costs more.Sat, 30 Aug 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/bear-vs-bull-base-coinbase-l2/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/bear-vs-bull-base-coinbase-l2/Base pulled $2.4B in net inflows on Coinbase's name. I dig into whether developer adoption matches the hype or it's another subsidized ghost chain.Tue, 22 Jul 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/tl-dr-how-telegram-games-actually-work/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/tl-dr-how-telegram-games-actually-work/Hamster Kombat hit 300 million users inside a messaging app. Here's how Telegram games actually work and why developers are betting big.Sat, 11 Jan 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/2025-predictions-the-year-crypto-ai-and-gaming-redefine-the-future/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/2025-predictions-the-year-crypto-ai-and-gaming-redefine-the-future/Happy New Year, everyone! Damn, what a year 2024 was for us. AI, elections, and the crypto super cycle were hurling us into the new year at a breakneck pace. BuMon, 06 Jan 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/america-s-debt-crisis-the-financial-abyss/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/america-s-debt-crisis-the-financial-abyss/America's federal debt surged 50% in five years to $34.1 trillion. Breaking down the interest payment crisis, zero-rate hangover, and what it means for the economy.Fri, 06 Sep 2024 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/the-crypto-voter-a-new-political-demographic-in-2024/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/the-crypto-voter-a-new-political-demographic-in-2024/As America approaches the 2024 presidential election, a new and potentially decisive voting bloc has emerged from the intersection of technology, finance, and pSun, 04 Aug 2024 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/bear-vs-bull-solana/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/bear-vs-bull-solana/A concise teardown of the Solana Blockchain, exploring the Bear and Bull case.Sun, 10 Mar 2024 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/gaming-in-2023-mobile-reigns-supreme-but-the-battlefield-is-shifting/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/gaming-in-2023-mobile-reigns-supreme-but-the-battlefield-is-shifting/Another year and another top showing for mobile games in the Games industry. But, unlike in years past, mobile growth was negative for the first time since its Tue, 20 Feb 2024 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/bear-vs-bull-polygon/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/bear-vs-bull-polygon/Polygon bear vs bull analysis: evaluating MATIC as an Ethereum Layer 2 for gaming and DeFi, from scalability wins to competitive threats in the L2 landscape.Fri, 02 Feb 2024 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/stop-measuring-nft-collections-by-floor-price-fp/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/stop-measuring-nft-collections-by-floor-price-fp/In one sentence:Using Floor Price as a primary metric for evaluating NFT collections is fundamentally flawed and can lead to misinformed purchase decisions due Sun, 28 Jan 2024 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/new-site-vibes/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/new-site-vibes/Quick update on the PM Notebook site migration. Some older articles need reformatting, but new content and fixes are on the way.Sat, 16 Jul 2022 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/tl-dr-tokens-in-gaming/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/tl-dr-tokens-in-gaming/Just a quick one to get through some of my thoughts on trends in crypto :) This week, I was fortunate enough to speak at Pocket Gamer Connects Seattle on a Web3Tue, 10 May 2022 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/macro-monday-how-web-3-will-impact-the-global-supply-chain/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/macro-monday-how-web-3-will-impact-the-global-supply-chain/Recently I've been reading up on the fears around the looming recession as the US and most of the world are looking to figure out this runaway inflation thing. Sun, 27 Mar 2022 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/the-pm-book-list-to-help-you/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/the-pm-book-list-to-help-you/Essential product management books on behavioral economics and user psychology, from Thinking Fast and Slow to Predictably Irrational. A curated PM reading list.Fri, 11 Feb 2022 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/foundations-of-a-pm/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/foundations-of-a-pm/For everyone in modern-day tech companies, the role of Product Manager (PM moving forward) is highly visible. But it wasn't long ago that PM was widely unknown,Fri, 21 Jan 2022 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/crypto-games-to-look-out-for-in-2022-pt-2/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/crypto-games-to-look-out-for-in-2022-pt-2/Crypto games to watch in 2022, part 2: hands-on look at Mines of Dalarnia, Ember Sword, Sunflower Farmers, Aurory, and how blockchain enables true digital scarcity.Fri, 14 Jan 2022 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/crypto-games-to-look-out-for-in-2022-pt-1/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/crypto-games-to-look-out-for-in-2022-pt-1/The NFT market hit a fever pitch at the end of 2021, with nearly every millennial and Gen Zer addressing the topic of Thanksgiving. But buying pixel art and allFri, 07 Jan 2022 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/not-just-another-gaming-blog/https://www.pm-notebook.com/blog/not-just-another-gaming-blog/Why a veteran product manager with eight $100M+ games started a blog to share frameworks, F2P insights, and hard-won lessons the gaming industry keeps siloed.Fri, 31 Dec 2021 00:00:00 GMT