The Adoption-Adaptation Gap: 12,000 Years of Technology Outrunning Civilization
ChatGPT reached 100M users in 2 months. Civilization takes 50 to 150 years to adapt. That gap has never been this wide. A 12,000-year history of what happens next.
AI • Product • Gaming • Crypto • Macro
ChatGPT reached 100M users in 2 months. Civilization takes 50 to 150 years to adapt. That gap has never been this wide. A 12,000-year history of what happens next.
Eliminate AI agent knowledge silos with Alexandria. Enable cross-project learning, ship 3x faster, and reduce repeated mistakes by 90%. A Product Manager's guide to collective AI intelligence.
A framework for spotting market shifts before they're obvious. Combines cycle theory, systems thinking, and antifragility into a single diagnostic.
How Embark Studios is building the most sophisticated implementation of game theory ever seen in gaming, turning every player encounter into a calculated decision between trust and betrayal.
Last year I called AI layoffs, the meme coin comeback, and AGI. Some hit, some didn't. This year I'm breaking predictions into two buckets: things you'll hear about constantly that won't land in 2026, and the shifts that are actually arriving. From desktop AI agents to prediction markets in your news feed, here's where I'm placing my bets.
Your brain processes 10 bits per second. AI handles millions of tokens instantly. The human context window is the most important constraint nobody is designing around.