The Adoption-Adaptation Gap: 12,000 Years of Technology Outrunning Civilization
ChatGPT reached 100M users in 2 months. Civilization takes 50 to 150 years to adapt. That gap has never been this wide. A 12,000-year history of what happens next.
Crypto • AI • Gaming • Product • Macro
ChatGPT reached 100M users in 2 months. Civilization takes 50 to 150 years to adapt. That gap has never been this wide. A 12,000-year history of what happens next.
For two hundred years, every abstraction stacked on top of the economy was a wrapper around the same scarcity. The wrapper is cracking.
Eliminate AI agent knowledge silos with Alexandria. Enable cross-project learning, ship 3x faster, and reduce repeated mistakes by 90%. A Product Manager's guide to collective AI intelligence.
A framework for spotting market shifts before they're obvious. Combines cycle theory, systems thinking, and antifragility into a single diagnostic.
How Embark Studios is building the most sophisticated implementation of game theory ever seen in gaming, turning every player encounter into a calculated decision between trust and betrayal.
Last year I called AI layoffs, the meme coin comeback, and AGI. Some hit, some didn't. This year I'm breaking predictions into two buckets: things you'll hear about constantly that won't land in 2026, and the shifts that are actually arriving. From desktop AI agents to prediction markets in your news feed, here's where I'm placing my bets.
Your brain processes 10 bits per second. AI handles millions of tokens instantly. The human context window is the most important constraint nobody is designing around.
A clean five-level framework for agentic AI maturity. Diagnose where your team actually is, find the failure mode, and get the next move.
I spent six months building agent teams across multiple companies, and I screwed up most of it. Here's the journey through five levels of AI maturity and why skipping ahead always costs more than slowing down.
Coinbase launched Base with massive institutional backing and $2.4B in net inflows. But does developer adoption match the hype, or is this just another VC-funded L2 trying to fragment an already crowded market?
Telegram has 900 million users and suddenly everyone's building games inside a messaging app. Here's how the tech actually works, why developers are betting big, and what makes Telegram gaming different from every failed chat-app game attempt before it.
Happy New Year, everyone! Damn, what a year 2024 was for us. AI, elections, and the crypto super cycle were hurling us into the new year at a breakneck pace. Bu
America's federal debt surged 50% in five years to $34.1 trillion. Breaking down the interest payment crisis, zero-rate hangover, and what it means for the economy.
As America approaches the 2024 presidential election, a new and potentially decisive voting bloc has emerged from the intersection of technology, finance, and p
A concise teardown of the Solana Blockchain, exploring the Bear and Bull case.
Another year and another top showing for mobile games in the Games industry. But, unlike in years past, mobile growth was negative for the first time since its
Polygon bear vs bull analysis: evaluating MATIC as an Ethereum Layer 2 for gaming and DeFi, from scalability wins to competitive threats in the L2 landscape.
In one sentence:Using Floor Price as a primary metric for evaluating NFT collections is fundamentally flawed and can lead to misinformed purchase decisions due
Quick update on the PM Notebook site migration. Some older articles need reformatting, but new content and fixes are on the way.
Just a quick one to get through some of my thoughts on trends in crypto :) This week, I was fortunate enough to speak at Pocket Gamer Connects Seattle on a Web3
Recently I've been reading up on the fears around the looming recession as the US and most of the world are looking to figure out this runaway inflation thing.
Essential product management books on behavioral economics and user psychology, from Thinking Fast and Slow to Predictably Irrational. A curated PM reading list.
For everyone in modern-day tech companies, the role of Product Manager (PM moving forward) is highly visible. But it wasn't long ago that PM was widely unknown,
Crypto games to watch in 2022, part 2: hands-on look at Mines of Dalarnia, Ember Sword, Sunflower Farmers, Aurory, and how blockchain enables true digital scarcity.
The NFT market hit a fever pitch at the end of 2021, with nearly every millennial and Gen Zer addressing the topic of Thanksgiving. But buying pixel art and all
Why a veteran product manager with eight $100M+ games started a blog to share frameworks, F2P insights, and hard-won lessons the gaming industry keeps siloed.