The Adoption-Adaptation Gap: 12,000 Years of Technology Outrunning Civilization
ChatGPT reached 100M users in 2 months. Civilization takes 50 to 150 years to adapt. That gap has never been this wide. A 12,000-year history of what happens next.
Crypto • AI • Gaming • Product • Macro
ChatGPT reached 100M users in 2 months. Civilization takes 50 to 150 years to adapt. That gap has never been this wide. A 12,000-year history of what happens next.
For two hundred years, every abstraction stacked on top of the economy was a wrapper around the same scarcity. The wrapper is cracking.
I got tired of re-teaching the same patterns to every AI agent on every project, so I built Alexandria: a shared memory my agents learn from.
A framework for spotting market shifts before they're obvious. Combines cycle theory, systems thinking, and antifragility into a single diagnostic.
Embark Studios built the prisoner's dilemma into an extraction shooter. Every squad encounter is a live experiment in trust and betrayal.
Desktop agents, prediction markets in your news feed, and the AI stories that won't land. My 2026 calls, split into signal and noise.
Your brain processes 10 bits per second. AI handles millions of tokens. The human context window is the constraint nobody designs around.
A clean five-level framework for agentic AI maturity. Diagnose where your team actually is, find the failure mode, and get the next move.
I spent six months building AI agent teams and screwed up most of it. The five levels of agent maturity, and why skipping ahead costs more.
Base pulled $2.4B in net inflows on Coinbase's name. I dig into whether developer adoption matches the hype or it's another subsidized ghost chain.
Hamster Kombat hit 300 million users inside a messaging app. Here's how Telegram games actually work and why developers are betting big.
Happy New Year, everyone! Damn, what a year 2024 was for us. AI, elections, and the crypto super cycle were hurling us into the new year at a breakneck pace. Bu
America's federal debt surged 50% in five years to $34.1 trillion. Breaking down the interest payment crisis, zero-rate hangover, and what it means for the economy.
As America approaches the 2024 presidential election, a new and potentially decisive voting bloc has emerged from the intersection of technology, finance, and p
A concise teardown of the Solana Blockchain, exploring the Bear and Bull case.
Another year and another top showing for mobile games in the Games industry. But, unlike in years past, mobile growth was negative for the first time since its
Polygon bear vs bull analysis: evaluating MATIC as an Ethereum Layer 2 for gaming and DeFi, from scalability wins to competitive threats in the L2 landscape.
In one sentence:Using Floor Price as a primary metric for evaluating NFT collections is fundamentally flawed and can lead to misinformed purchase decisions due
Quick update on the PM Notebook site migration. Some older articles need reformatting, but new content and fixes are on the way.
Just a quick one to get through some of my thoughts on trends in crypto :) This week, I was fortunate enough to speak at Pocket Gamer Connects Seattle on a Web3
Recently I've been reading up on the fears around the looming recession as the US and most of the world are looking to figure out this runaway inflation thing.
Essential product management books on behavioral economics and user psychology, from Thinking Fast and Slow to Predictably Irrational. A curated PM reading list.
For everyone in modern-day tech companies, the role of Product Manager (PM moving forward) is highly visible. But it wasn't long ago that PM was widely unknown,
Crypto games to watch in 2022, part 2: hands-on look at Mines of Dalarnia, Ember Sword, Sunflower Farmers, Aurory, and how blockchain enables true digital scarcity.
The NFT market hit a fever pitch at the end of 2021, with nearly every millennial and Gen Zer addressing the topic of Thanksgiving. But buying pixel art and all
Why a veteran product manager with eight $100M+ games started a blog to share frameworks, F2P insights, and hard-won lessons the gaming industry keeps siloed.